Blogs WRE City Group

Monday Morning Update

Posted on February 26, 2009
I am late!  This was prepared on Monday Morning but I did not get it posted until now!  Please be patient, this is a work in progress!! 

Citibank is all over the news this morning as it appears the government will once again provide them with help.  The Wall Street Journal reported late Sunday that Citi is negotiating to increase the U.S. government's stake to as much as 40 percent. The government, which has already invested $25 billion in the company, would convert its preferred shares to common shares; this would leave existing shareholders with some stake, albeit one that is diluted, the Journal reported.

Investors have been anticipating that the overall number of shares would increase and therefore reduce the value of each share. But investors also seemed to welcome the report because it lessened uncertainty about the company.

Stress tests begin for banks on the 25th.  If you want to know more about this topic, please read the bloomberg article.
 
Last Week in Review -  "I WILL ACT NOW. I WILL ACT NOW. I WILL ACT NOW." Og Mandino. And acting now - more than once - is exactly what Congress and the President did last week, as two major economic plans were released that impact the mortgage and housing industries.

The first plan, the Economic Stimulus Plan for 2009, was finally approved by Congress and signed by President Obama. In addition, the President unveiled the initial details of his Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan, which is designed to help stabilize the housing market and keep millions of borrowers in their homes. Many of the details of these plans are still being worked out, but read this week's Mortgage Market View article below for an overview of some benefits that may impact you.

In other news, the Stock market plunged last week on continued fears of a deepening recession, a failing banking system, weak corporate earnings and forecasts. The 113 year old Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the week down almost 7%, reaching a six-year low.
 
Not accounting for dividends, the Dow is at a level equal to what it was twelve years ago. Oftentimes Stock prices rebound once previous lows are tested...so let's hope that happens now, as the Stock market is due for a rally! The plunge in the Stock market did not lead to any significant improvement for Bonds or home loans rates last week, but the week ended with
Bonds and home loan rates unchanged to slightly better from where they began.

Forecast for the Week - Several reports could cause some action in the markets this week. First, we'll get a look at the housing market with Wednesday's Existing Home Sales Report and Thursday's New Home Sales Report.

Thursday also brings the Durable Goods Report (i.e. items that are non-disposable, like cars, furniture, appliances, games, cameras, business equipment, etc), which will give us a read on consumer and business consumption and buying behavior. And we can't ignore Friday's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Report, as GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity. Given the state of our economy, it might not be too much of a surprise if these reports are negative.

Remember: Weak economic news normally helps Bonds and home loan rates improve, as money flows out of Stocks and into Bonds. When Bond prices move higher, home loan rates move lower. Bonds and home loan rates continue to face some tough technical resistance overhead, hindering their path to improvement. I will be watching closely to see what happens this week.

Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan -
President Obama unveiled his plan to help stabilize the housing market and keep millions of borrowers in their homes. The Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan includes two initiatives to help struggling homeowners. One is a refinancing program for homeowners with less than 20% equity in their homes, or who owe more than their home is worth. The second program attempts to lower monthly payments for homeowners at risk of losing their home. Many of the plan's details are still being worked out and will not be announced until March 4. Here is an overview of the plan's main components.

Refinancing Initiative

Under current rules, those families who own less than 20% equity in their homes have a difficult time refinancing and taking advantage of the historically low interest rates. This initiative is open to homeowners who have conforming loans which are guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and who owe up to 5% more than their home is worth.

According to the plan, "credit-worthy" or "responsible" homeowners can refinance their mortgage into a 30- or 15-year, fixed-rate loan based on current market rates. The refinanced loan, however, cannot include prepayment penalties or balloon payments. For many families, this low-cost refinancing may help reduce their mortgage payments by up to thousands of dollars per year.

As with the rest of the plan, details about this initiative will be released at a future date--including what, if any, credit score requirements will be included.

Stability Initiative

This initiative aims at providing help to individual families as well as entire neighborhoods by helping reduce foreclosures and stabilize home prices. It is intended to help homeowners who are struggling to afford their mortgage payments, but cannot sell their homes because prices have fallen significantly.

The goal of this initiative is simple: "reduce the amount homeowners owe per month to sustainable levels." To accomplish this, lenders are encouraged to lower homeowners' payments to 31% of their income by lowering their interest rate to as low as 2% or by extending the terms of the loan. In addition, lenders can also lower the principal owed by the borrower, with Treasury sharing in the costs.

Homeowners who are current on their mortgages but are struggling can still apply for this program. As such, this is one of the few programs designed to help homeowners who may face delinquency soon, but are current at the moment.

This initiative also includes a number of additional elements and incentives, including an extra incentive for borrowers to keep paying on time. The initiative will provide a monthly balance reduction payment that goes straight towards reducing the principal balance of the mortgage loan. As long as a borrower stays current on his or her loan, he or she can get up to $1,000 each year for five years.

Since the focus of this initiative is on helping families and neighborhoods, investment properties do not qualify.
 
Once again, thank you for reading this post and feel free to post any comments or questions you may have - Denelle
 

Post a Comment on "Monday Morning Update"
Name
Email
Website
Comment
 
Spokane MLS Data last updated: 05/19/12 IDX Data is provided exclusively for 'consumers’ personal, non-commercial use, it may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing, and that data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by the SARMLS. Spokane MLS Data Copyright 2012 of the Spokane Association of REALTORS® MLS. All rights reserved.
©2012 GraphicalData, Inc.   Site Map